The Future of Militant Islamism in Somalia

No.2(2008)

Abstract
The presented article aims to answer the question of what the future of militant Islamism in Somalia will look like after the defeat of the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC) . This will be done by analysing the roots of this phenomenon. Operationalization is based on the violent non-state actor model, as defined by Thomas, Kiser and Casebeer. Next, the most important actors in contemporary Somalia regarding militant Islam will be presented. The Manwaring paradigm will be used to help us understand the success of the UIC. The findings will then be extrapolated into the future to resolve the original analytical question.

Keywords:
Militant Islamism; Somalia; the Union of Islamic Courts; Transitional Federal Government; al-Ittihad al-Islami; Violent Non-State Actor; Manwaring Paradigm
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